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From: Liam Gilligan <liamdgilligan@gmail.com>
To: Bitcoin Development Mailing List <bitcoindev@googlegroups.com>
Subject: Re: [bitcoindev] A Post-Quantum Path for BIP 324
Date: Wed, 26 Aug 2026 22:52:38 -0700 (PDT)	[thread overview]
Message-ID: <d4b87b2c-63c2-488b-9e76-4e3dbeedb0c2n@googlegroups.com> (raw)
In-Reply-To: <ZPM_caMVKdoxGyFFqALpkG-QUTPTSqx_xMTZZqUB3b8-zGkChYw2EGcPTsp5SdxrK2rx0mmCMYaSenjoNz2q6I52drWn8LeuooADmcO3AEE=@proton.me>


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Hey everyone,

I agree with Laolu that P2P is the logical first step for PQ migration.

TL;DR (uses the terminology below): The need for PQ-P2P is inevitable, and 
CTU seems like the best way forward to me. Work should begin by defining 
how transport upgrades are negotiated.

I'd like to establish some terms and acronyms to make discussion a little 
bit easier:

   - CTU (classical-then-upgrade): This is option 1 as laid out by Laolu. 
   In short, first performing ECDH and then negotiating and (optionally) 
   performing a PQ key exchange over the classically encrypted channel.
   - OSH (one-shot hybrid): This is option 2 as laid out by Laolu. 
   Basically concatenating the PQ KEM keys/ciphertext to the ECDH keys. As 
   previously discussed, this can be done with various encodings (such as 
   Kemeleon and/or an OEINC) to preserve the pseudorandom bytestream 324 
   currently guarantees.
   - PQ-P2P (post-quantum peer-to-peer)
   - CRQC (cryptographically relevant quantum computer)
   - HNDL (harvest now, decrypt later): Recording classically encrypted 
   traffic with the intention of decrypting it with a CRQC later.

What problem does PQ-P2P solve? 

In other words, what features/improvements introduced by BIP-324 are 
negated by a CRQC? Well, the properties BIP-324 seeks to achieve are as 
follows[1]:

   - *Confidentiality against passive attacks*: A passive attacker having 
   recorded a v2 P2P bytestream (without timing and fragmentation information) 
   must not be able to determine the plaintext being exchanged by the nodes.
   - *Observability of active attacks*: A session ID identifying the 
   encrypted channel uniquely is derived deterministically from a 
   Diffie-Hellman negotiation. An active man-in-the-middle attacker is forced 
   to incur a risk of being detected as peer operators can compare session IDs 
   manually, or using optional authentication methods possibly introduced in 
   future protocol versions.
   - *Pseudorandom bytestream*: A passive attacker having recorded a v2 P2P 
   bytestream (without timing information and fragmentation information) must 
   not be able to distinguish it from a uniformly random bytestream.
   - *Shapable bytestream*: It should be possible to shape the bytestream 
   to increase resistance to traffic analysis (for example, to conceal block 
   propagation), or censorship avoidance[2].
   - *Forward secrecy*: An eavesdropping attacker who compromises a peer's 
   sessions secrets should not be able to decrypt past session traffic, except 
   for the latest few packets.
   - *Upgradability*: The proposal provides an upgrade path using transport 
   versioning which can be used to add features like authentication, PQC 
   handshake upgrade, etc. in the future.
   - *Compatibility*: v2 clients will allow inbound v1 connections to 
   minimize risk of network partitions.
   - *Low overhead*: the introduction of a new P2P transport protocol 
   should not substantially increase computational cost or bandwidth for nodes 
   that implement it, compared to the current protocol.

The shapable bytestream, upgradability, compatibility, and low overhead 
properties are intrinsic to the design and are not affected by the 
existence of a CRQC. However, the other four properties are violated:

*Confidentiality against passive attacks*: A CRQC can break ECDH, and 
therefore can passively determine the plaintext exchanged.

*Observability of active attacks*: An active attacker armed with a CRQC can 
relay both nodes' ElligatorSwift encodings unmodified, causing both to 
derive the same session ID. It can then recover either node's ephemeral 
private key from the recorded encoding and compute that same shared secret, 
allowing it to read and modify traffic while both operators see matching 
session IDs.

*Pseudorandom bytestream*: This follows from confidentiality against 
passive attacks being violated.[3]

*Forward secrecy*: This follows from confidentiality against passive 
attacks being violated[3].
Arguments against introducing PQ-P2P (and counterarguments) 

We've established that some of the goals of BIP-324 are clearly defeated by 
a quantum attacker, but does that actually *matter*?

Consider the pseudorandom bytestream property. We established that a 
quantum attacker can distinguish a recorded v2 P2P bytestream from a 
uniformly random bytestream. However, the reason BIP-324 seeks to create a 
pseudorandom bytestream is to raise the cost of fingerprinting and 
censorship[4], and it admits that methods such as timing or port analysis 
can fingerprint node traffic. Does a CRQC meaningfully lower the cost of 
fingerprinting or censorship? It is hard to imagine a world where running 
Shor's is cheaper than timing analysis, so it is safe to say that the 
pseudorandom bytestream still achieves its goal of raising fingerprinting 
costs, even in light of a CRQC.

Next, consider the observability of active attacks. Ignoring CRQCs briefly, 
the only way node operators can detect a MitM to begin with is by 
communicating their session IDs on an authenticated channel (otherwise it 
is still susceptible to a MitM), and thus must be done out of band. 
Basically, BIP-324 enables MitM detection but provides no means of doing 
so. AFAIK, no one compares session IDs out of band, and in any case the 
proportion of nodes that do so is near zero. This failure is more so a 
reason to introduce some sort of authentication scheme[5] than it is a 
reason to introduce PQ-P2P.

Now, let's talk forward secrecy. As mentioned in [3], the rekey mechanism 
itself *could* be secure against a CRQC, but in any case, because 
confidentiality against passive attacks is violated, it hardly matters.

Finally, confidentiality against passive attacks. The most obviously 
sensitive information in the stream is the origin of transactions[6]. Now, 
we'll approach this in a way similar to how we approached the pseudorandom 
bytestream. ECDH acts to raise the cost of a passive attack on 
confidentiality (an effectively infinite cost without a CRQC), but again 
does nothing for confidentiality against an active attacker. This means 
that encryption does nothing to hide the origin of a transaction against a 
MitM or Sybil[7] attack. Can we imagine a world in which running Shor's is 
cheaper than simply MitMing? Can we even imagine a world in which Shor's is 
cheaper than Sybiling? This seems like an argument for simply using private 
broadcast[8].

That last point does not take into account a HNDL attack. HNDL attacks are 
presently far cheaper than any active attacks, as an attacker need only 
record traffic. Importantly, it means the origin of all future transactions 
broadcast through v2 can be determined, and it is likely that such an 
attack is currently taking place. Private broadcast does defeat a HNDL 
attack on the transactions of nodes that opt in to it, but it is off by 
default and does nothing for the traffic a node relays on behalf of others. 
Moreover, this shouldn't be interpreted as a fix for the lack of 
confidentiality that v2 traffic has in light of a quantum computer: it is 
only used for sendrawtransaction, and does nothing for the confidentiality 
of other traffic. Broken encryption can only be fixed with working 
encryption.

As far as the pseudorandom bytestream, observability of active attacks, and 
forward secrecy go, I do genuinely think there is not much to be 
empirically gained by introducing PQ-P2P.

However, the argument that cheaper active attacks against confidentiality 
exist is an argument for authentication, not an argument against PQ-P2P. 
Confidentiality can be defeated both by breaking the encryption and by 
bypassing it entirely (via MitM or Sybil attacks), and the solution is to 
fix both. It is theoretically possible that a CRQC can crack ECDLP in 
minutes[9], and an encryption scheme that can be broken in minutes is not 
permissible regardless of what cheaper bypasses exist.

With this in mind, it is clear that PQ-P2P is needed.
Thoughts on CTU vs OSH 

I agree with previous discussion that CTU is the appropriate upgrade path, 
for the following reasons:

   1. DoS surface: OSH requires nodes to read and validate large PQ keys 
   from peers before knowing anything about them, and to generate keys for 
   every outgoing connection before knowing whether the peer supports PQ at 
   all. CTU only does so after negotiation.
   2. Pseudorandom bytestream: CTU preserves the property at zero cost, 
   because the PQ material is already inside the encrypted channel. OSH must 
   additionally implement Kemeleon, and arguably an OEINC combiner, purely to 
   avoid regressing it.
   3. Extension rather than replacement: CTU extends BIP-324, whereas OSH 
   replaces it and would require a new transport version.

The only real gain from an OSH solution is reducing round trips, which I 
don't think is valuable enough to sacrifice the benefits CTU offers.

I think specifying how transport upgrades are negotiated at all is the 
logical first step, and it should be defined such that different PQ-KEMs 
can be negotiated, as well as authentication protocols (authentication 
solves other P2P problems discussed elsewhere). I'll follow up with a 
concrete proposal in a separate thread.

I'd like to hear what you all think.

Best,
Liam
------------------------------

[1] https://github.com/bitcoin/bips/blob/master/bip-0324.mediawiki#goals

[2] 
https://github.com/bitcoin/bips/blob/master/bip-0324.mediawiki#cite_note-shapable_hs_tor_circumvention_4

[3] Forward secrecy is currently achieved by deterministically generating 
new keys every 224 messages. This does not protect future messages, but 
means an attacker with access to intermediary keys (i.e., not the shared 
secret derived from ECDH or the key it produces) cannot derive previous 
keys and decrypt past messages. Given an intermediary key, it is not 
immediately clear to me how an attacker could use a CRQC to find a previous 
key, but it hardly matters: if they recorded past messages they wish to 
decrypt, then they likely also recorded the handshake, and can break the 
initial ECDH from there and can therefore decrypt all traffic. However, 
assuming an attacker armed with a CRQC discovers an intermediary key but 
has not recorded the handshake, then I suppose forward secrecy would be 
preserved.

[4] "A pseudorandom bytestream excludes identification techniques based on 
pattern matching, and makes it easier to shape the bytestream in order to 
mimic other protocols used on the Internet. This raises the cost of a 
connection censoring firewall, forcing them to either resort to a full MitM 
attack, or operate on a more obvious allowlist basis, rather than a 
blocklist basis." -- BIP-324 Motivation, 
https://github.com/bitcoin/bips/blob/master/bip-0324.mediawiki#motivation

[5] See sipa's post on Countersign and other private authentication 
protocols: https://wuille.net/posts/private-authentication-protocols/

[6] Relay timing, block and filter requests, and addr gossip are all part 
of the stream, not only transaction announcements.

[7] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sybil_attack

[8] https://github.com/bitcoin/bitcoin/pull/29415

[9] https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.28846 -- note the runtime estimate carries 
significant caveats around qubit counts and hardware architecture; see the 
paper for details.


On Saturday, May 9, 2026 at 9:39:13 AM UTC conduition wrote:

> Oopsie, I just saw Laolu's footnote #4 about ignoring isogeny crypto. 
> Guess I should learn to read better :P
>
> regards,
> conduition
> On Friday, May 8th, 2026 at 8:21 PM, conduition <condu...@proton.me> 
> wrote:
>
> Hi all,
>
> I'm not well-versed in the P2P network transport protocol or BIP324, so 
> I'm not well-qualified to give feedback on the details of this idea. But I 
> did want to chime in on this statement:
>
> One thing worth noting is that AFAICT, so far in the NIST PQC world [4], 
> there is no known non-interactive key exchange protocol like we enjoy 
> today with ECDH. IIUC, the reason is that lattice based schemes derived 
> from the LWE [3] problem, whose security is predicated on using "noise" to 
> hide a secret value. For these cryptosystems, usually a type of "hint" is 
> sent to make everything work out nicely like in ECDH. However, in the 
> stricter non-interactive setting (no messages sent), this doesn't map 
> cleanly. 
>
>
> It's important to emphasize this only considers the NIST-standardized 
> KEMs. If we zoom out to the broader ecosystem of PQ PKE candidates, there 
> are several options for non-interactive key exchange systems that'd be a 
> drop-in replacement for ECDH.
>
> For instance, oriented isogeny-based systems like CSIDH [1] [2] permit 
> this kind of construction. Both parties publish a short (64 to 128 byte) 
> pubkey and can perform key exchange as soon as they've seen the peer's 
> pubkey, no additional messages required. The down side of CSIDH is that 
> it's quite slow, so it is most useful when pubkeys are static or otherwise 
> don't change much. There has been a lot of work done with new faster 
> schemes [3] or speeding up CSIDH with better implementations [4] but 
> still key exchange can take a good few dozen milliseconds. 
>
> In general, any post-quantum-secure commutative group action scheme allows 
> non-interactive key exchange. CSIDH is just one such example, and I'm sure 
> there are and will be others.
>
> Being unversed in BIP324 as yet, I'm not sure how crucial this 
> non-interactivity property is to the protocol. If it's not a big deal, then 
> I'd gladly toss my hat in for lattices and a hybridized ML-KEM 
> construction, given so much of the internet is already migrating to this. 
> It makes sense to follow standards if we can. Going full-TLS would probably 
> be overkill IMO - It is designed for a very different (centralized) PKI 
> architecture and would buy us a ticket for a train we probably don't want 
> to ride.
>
> Maybe there's a more applicable standard, a la Noise/Wireguard? For a 
> possible implementation reference, see [5]. Otherwise rolling our own 
> standard seems like the way to go, especially if we can do so in a way that 
> is reusable for other use-cases beyond Bitcoin.
>
> Also, if we go with a hybrid scheme, we should have clear migration paths 
> to transition to either pure PQC (if a CRQC appears and breaks ECDH, we 
> might as well discard it), or back to classical ECDH (if CRQCs turn out to 
> be impossible).
>
> regards,
> conduition
>
> [1]: https://csidh.isogeny.org/
> [2]: https://eprint.iacr.org/2018/383
> [3]: https://eprint.iacr.org/2025/1098.pdf
> [4]: https://ctidh.isogeny.org/ctidh-20210513.pdf
> [5]: https://github.com/jmlepisto/clatter
>
>
>
> On Thursday, May 7th, 2026 at 1:45 AM, Jonas Schnelli <
> jonas.s...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
> Thanks for writing this up Laolu.
>
> I think option 1 (classical-then-PQ-upgrade) is probably the right path, 
> mostly because it keeps the byte-0 pseudorandomness property without 
> needing Kemeleon or any new obfuscation primitive.
>
> If the ML-KEM exchange happens inside the already-established v2 
> ChaCha20Poly1305 channel, then to a present-day classical observer the 
> bytes should still look random,... the inner PQ handshake is just more 
> ciphertext. A future QC adversary doing harvest-now-decrypt-later would 
> break the outer ECDH eventually, but I think they'd then still have to 
> break ML-KEM-768 to get the v3 transport keys, which is kind of the whole 
> point. So we'd probably get hybrid security against the QC threat and also 
> keep the property that today's wire bytes are indistinguishable from random.
>
> That said, I'm not sure how far we should really take the pseudorandomness 
> argument,... traffic shape (packet sizes, timings, query/response patterns) 
> probably already reveals quite a bit about what's going on, so the 
> byte-content randomness is only one part of the picture.
>
> The extra round trip is probably fine given how long Bitcoin P2P 
> connections live. The DoS angle you flagged might also be smaller in option 
> 1, since the responder still commits after 64 bytes and not after a 
> 1184-byte ML-KEM key,... though I haven't thought hard about wether there 
> are other DoS vectors the inner upgrade introduces.
>
> On Ethan's TLS 1.3 suggestionm,... I don't think it really fits. Apart 
> from the dependency cost (which we deliberately kept low in BIP 324), TLS 
> has it's own fingerprint, which would probably undo the 
> censorship-resistance angle. And it bundles authentication with encryption, 
> which we explicitly decoupled.
>
> One thing worth looking at: OpenSSH (whose chacha20-poly1305 construction 
> we drew from originally) shipped mlkem768x25519-sha256 as default in 10.0 
> last year, and they just concatenate-and-hash the two shared secrets. Their 
> threat model doesn't care about pseudorandomness so they can send ML-KEM 
> material in the clear, but the combiner shape is probably a reasonable 
> reference for ours.
>
> /jonas
>
> On May 6, 2026, at 12:15 PM, Olaoluwa Osuntokun <lao...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
> Hi Ethan, 
>
> That's a great question. 
>
> First, I don't speak for Bitcoin Core by any means (btcd has also 
> implemented
> BIP 324 FWIW). Based on past observed behavior, they typically prefer to 
> keep
> dependencies slim. Many years ago there was a concerted push to remove 
> openssl
> as a dependency from the project. So I would imagine the idea of rolling 
> out
> full blown TLS 1.3 might encounter some resistance.
>
> In terms of cryptography, BIP 324 as defined uses secp256k1. TLS 1.3 as
> specified doesn't support secp256k1 within the set of supported cipher 
> suites.
>
> If ensuring that BIP 324 continues to implement an oblivious KEM is a key
> requirement, then TLS 1.3 doesn't fit the bill.
>
> Regarding a hybrid PQ KEM, there exists an IETF to add a new key agreement
> suite to TLS 1.3: 
> https://datatracker.ietf.org/doc/draft-ietf-tls-ecdhe-mlkem/.
> Only secp256+384(r1) and x25519 are supported as elliptic curves in this 
> draft.
>
> One additional aspect is that today BIP 324 doesn't implement 
> authentication at
> all, you only get confidentiality. TLS 1.3 would mean introducing 
> certificates
> in some fashion, thereby coupling concerns from the original PoV of Bip 
> 324.
>
> BIP 324 also includes as section in the BIP detailing the rationale of BIP 
> 324
> over a more general purpose protocol (mentions some of the points above):
>
> https://github.com/bitcoin/bips/blob/master/bip-0324.mediawiki#:~:text=Why%20not%20use%20a%20general%2Dpurpose%20transport%20encryption%20protocol%3F
> .
>
>
> -- Laolu
>
>
>
> On Tue, May 5, 2026 at 2:18 PM Ethan Heilman <eth...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
>> Thanks Laolu for thinking through making PQ BIP 324 and writing this up.
>>
>> Reading through what you wrote made me what wonder, why not use this as 
>> an opportunity to move to TLS 1.3?
>>
>> What's the case against using TLS 1.3 for PQ P2P connection encryption? 
>> Is there some functionality that TLS 1.3 is lacking that we really want?  
>> Is the case against solely to not have TLS 1.3 as a complex dependency in 
>> bitcoin-core?
>>
>> The advantages of TLS 1.3:
>>
>> 1. Make Bitcoin P2P connections blend in with all the other TLS 
>> connections. This isn't strong privacy, you can distinguish TLS encrypted 
>> Bitcoin traffic via timing and size, but it reduces accidents where a 
>> firewall sees an unknown protocol and blocks it.
>>
>> 2. Use of QUIC for faster relay, oblivious HTTP and QUIC 
>> tunnels-in-tunnels for private relay and similar protocols.
>>
>> 3. Lots of eyeballs on TLS 1.3, we don't need to build or maintain it.
>>
>>
>> On Tue, May 5, 2026, 00:41 Olaoluwa Osuntokun <lao...@gmail.com> wrote:
>>
>>> Hi y'all, 
>>>
>>> In case you weren't already tired of all the recent dev list chatter re 
>>> post
>>> quantum cryptography, here's another!
>>>
>>> When the topic of Bitcoin transitioning to a post quantum world is 
>>> brought up,
>>> the discussion typically focuses on the consensus layer re swapping out
>>> vulnerable signature schemes. However, the consensus layer isn't the 
>>> only area
>>> of Bitcoin that relies in cryptography that would be broken in the face 
>>> of a
>>> powerful quantum computer! That's right, I'm talking about BIP 324, the 
>>> peer to
>>> peer encryption BIP for Bitcoin.
>>>
>>> Like everything else on the Internet today, BIP 324 uses ECDH to allow 
>>> two
>>> connecting peers to derive a shared secret known only to them, which is 
>>> then
>>> used to encrypt all traffic between them. As ECDH relies on Elliptic 
>>> Curve
>>> cryptography, a future quantum computer would be able to eavesdrop on a 
>>> p2p
>>> handshake transcript, then derive the underlying private keys to the 
>>> ephemeral
>>> ECDH public key, permitting it to decrypt all traffic. It's actually 
>>> worse than
>>> that, as today adversaries can collect all encrypted p2p Bitcoin 
>>> traffic, with
>>> the hope of being able to decrypt it all at a future date. This is 
>>> commonly
>>> referred to as the: "harvest, decrypt later" (HNDL) strategy [11].
>>>
>>> Compared to a consensus change, which requires widespread market 
>>> agreement, and
>>> coordination to achieve, upgrading BIP 324 to be post quantum resistant 
>>> is a
>>> much lower hanging fruit worthy of pursing immediately.
>>>
>>> Last week I starting thinking a bit about this topic, brushing up on the 
>>> latest
>>> literature/techniques, and stumbled onto a few key design questions. The 
>>> goal
>>> of this post isn't to propose a new concrete p2p encryption BIP, instead 
>>> I want
>>> to start discussion on the various design tradeoffs that came up as I was
>>> researching this p2p encryption transition.
>>>
>>> ## PQ BIP 324 Design Questions
>>>
>>> 1. Do we want to pursue a hybrid KEM (key encapsulation mechanism), or 
>>> go with
>>>    a pure PQ KEM?
>>>
>>> 2. Is it still a key requirement that the initial handshake be
>>>    indistinguishable from a random byte string?
>>>
>>>    2a. If yes to the above, then should we go with 
>>> classical-then-pq-upgrade,
>>>    or a one shot hybrid oblivious KEM.
>>>
>>>
>>> ## A Brief Intro to KEMs + ML-KEM
>>>
>>> First, let's introduce the new primitive we have to work with: ML-KEM
>>> (Module-Lattice-Based Key-Encapsulation Mechanism) [1][2]. As it says on 
>>> the
>>> tin, ML-KEM is a lattice based Key-Encapsulation Mechanism. The phrase 
>>> KEM
>>> might sound unfamiliar with those comfortable with ECDH, but ECDH is 
>>> actually a
>>> KEM itself.
>>>
>>> A KEM has 3 algorithms:
>>>   * KeyGen() -> {sk, pk}
>>>      * Generates a public/private secret key pair
>>>
>>>   * Encaps(pub) -> {secret, capsule}
>>>      * Generates a new secret value, and a "capsule", which only the 
>>> holder of
>>>        pub can use to obtain the secret value.
>>>
>>>   * Decaps(priv, capsule) -> secret
>>>      * Uses the private key to extract the secret from the capsule
>>>
>>>
>>> If you squint a bit, then you'll see that ECDH is a KEM, and a rather 
>>> elegant
>>> one at that:
>>>   * KeyGen() -> {k, k*G}
>>>       * Normal EC key generation. 
>>>
>>>   * Encaps(pub) -> {capsule = x*G, secret = pub*x}
>>>       * The core ECDH routine. The ephemeral public key is actually the
>>>         "capsule". The resulting secret is the ECDH output with the 
>>> remote
>>>         party's KEM public key and the local secret.
>>>
>>>   * Decaps(priv, capsule) -> secret = priv * capsule
>>>       * The receiver completes the key exchange using the ephemeral 
>>> public key
>>>         and their own private key.
>>>
>>> ECIES is another flavor of EC based KEM.
>>>
>>> One thing worth noting is that AFAICT, so far in the NIST PQC world [4], 
>>> there is
>>> no known non-interactive key exchange protocol like we enjoy today with 
>>> ECDH.
>>> IIUC, the reason is that lattice based schemes derived from the LWE [3]
>>> problem, whose security is predicated on using "noise" to hide a secret 
>>> value.
>>> For these cryptosystems, usually a type of "hint" is sent to make 
>>> everything
>>> work out nicely like in ECDH. However, in the stricter non-interactive 
>>> setting
>>> (no messages sent), this doesn't map cleanly.
>>>
>>> As a result, ML-KEM looks more like a hybrid encryption protocol (Alice
>>> encrypts a shared secret to bob using asymmetric lattice crypto).
>>>
>>> ## To Hybrid KEM, Or Not to Hybrid KEM
>>>
>>> This brings us to our first design question....
>>>
>>> Should we use a hybrid KEM or a pure post quantum one? 
>>>
>>> A hybrid KEM would keep the existing ECDH, _also_ do ML-KEM, then 
>>> securely
>>> combine (there's some subtlety there, see [6][7]) the resulting in a
>>> final secret value for encryption. A hybrid KEM is attractive as an 
>>> encryption
>>> channel derived from such a KEM is secure if _any_ of the combined 
>>> schemes are
>>> secure. This permits schemes to hedge a bit, as hey, maybe the PQ stuff 
>>> is
>>> actually broken in the future but ECDH isn't. If it's the other way 
>>> around,
>>> then your encryption scheme is still secure.
>>>
>>> ### Pure ML-KEM P2P Encrypted Handshake
>>>
>>> If we opt to not use a hybrid scheme, then the Elligator layer can be 
>>> dropped
>>> all together. Instead, the 1.1 KB (ML-KEM-768) encapsulation keys are 
>>> sent,
>>> keeping the trailing garbage+terminator in tact. 
>>>
>>> The initial handshake would look something like: 
>>>  * Alice -> Bob: alice_encaps || initiator_garbage
>>>     * Alice derives an encapsulation key, and sends it to Bob.
>>>
>>>  * Bob -> Alice: ml_kem_capsule || responder_garbage || 
>>> responder_garbage_terminator || first_encrypted_packet
>>>    * Bob uses Alice's encapsulation key to encapsulate a random secret, 
>>> and
>>>      sends it over to Alice. He can also encrypt the first message at 
>>> this
>>>      point.
>>>
>>>  * Alice -> Bob: initiator_garbage_terminator || first_encrypted_packet
>>>    * Alice de-encapsulates the shared secret, and can now also start to 
>>> encrypt
>>>      messages.
>>>
>>> We'd then replace `v2_ecdh` with something like a `v3_mlkem` that 
>>> derives the
>>> final shared secret based on the sent/received transcript up until that 
>>> point:
>>>   * `sha256_tagged("bip324_ml_kem", ml_kem_secret, alice_encaps, 
>>> ml_kem_capsule)`
>>>
>>> ### Hybrid ML-KEM P2P Encrypted Handshake
>>>
>>> If we want to use a hybrid combiner, then along side the normal ellswift 
>>> keys,
>>> the ML-KEM-768 encap key is also sent:
>>>
>>>  * Alice -> Bob: ellswift_alice || alice_encaps || initiator_garbage
>>>  * Bob -> Alice: ellswift_bob || ml_kem_capsule || responder_garbage || 
>>> responder_garbage_terminator || first_encrypted_packet
>>>  * Alice -> Bob: initiator_garbage_terminator || first_encrypted_packet
>>>
>>> Then following guidelines of [7], we'd then replace `v2_ecdh` with 
>>> something
>>> like `v3_hybrid_shared_secret`:
>>>   * `sha256_tagged("bip324_ellswift_xonly_ecdh_mlkem_768", ml_kem_ss, 
>>> ecdh_point_x32, alice_encaps, ml_kem_capsule, ellswift_alice, ellswift_bob)`
>>>
>>> ## PQ/Hybrid Obfuscated KEMs
>>>
>>> At this point, those that are familiar with BIP 324 will recognize that 
>>> both
>>> the pure PQ and hybrid versions renders the ElligatorSwift usage pretty 
>>> much
>>> useless. ElligatorSwift encodes a 32-byte public key as a 64-byte value 
>>> which
>>> is indistinguishable from a uniformly distributed bitstream. In a 
>>> bubble, this
>>> means that the initial BIP 324 handshake to a 3rd party observer just 
>>> looks
>>> like random bytes. However, with the introduction of ML-KEM, the ML-KEM
>>> encapsulation key is sent in plaintext over the wire. An ML-KEM key has
>>> identifiable structure, as it's a giant vector of polynomial 
>>> coefficients mod
>>> 3329, which is easily recognizable over the wire.
>>>
>>> Luckily, there's an ML-KEM analogue to ElligatorSwift, called Kemeleon
>>> [8][9][10]! In a similar fashion to ElligatorSwift, it takes an ML-KEM 
>>> public
>>> key, then encodes it as one giant integer, utilizing rejection sampling.
>>> Kemeleon applies this mapping both to the encapsulation keys, and also 
>>> the
>>> capsule ciphertext that encrypts the shared secrets. The ML-KEM keys end 
>>> up
>>> being a bit smaller, while the ciphertexts map to a larger value. Another
>>> tradeoff is that the Kemeleon key generation is ~3x slower than normal 
>>> ML-KEM
>>> generation.
>>>
>>> One thing to note here is that Kemeleon's "looks random" property isn't 
>>> quite
>>> on the same footing as ElligatorSwift's. ElligatorSwift is statistically
>>> indistinguishable from random, since every 512-bit string is a valid 
>>> encoding.
>>> Kemeleon's indistinguishability is computational, resting on a Module-LWE
>>> style assumption. So if you naively concatenate an ElligatorSwift key 
>>> and a
>>> Kemeleon key, the pair is only as obfuscated as the weakest visible 
>>> half. This
>>> asymmetry is what motivates the OEINC construction discussed below.
>>>
>>> This brings us to our second design question....
>>>
>>> Do we still want to ensure that the BIP-324 handshake looks identical to 
>>> a
>>> pseudorandom bytestream from the very first message?
>>>
>>> Assuming yes, then AFAICT, we have two classes of options here: 
>>>   1. Retain the existing BIP-324 outer ElligatorSwift handshake, but 
>>> use ML-KEM
>>>      within that initial encrypted transport to upgrade to a PQ shared 
>>> secret.
>>>
>>>   2. Use the Outer Encrypts Inner Nested Combiner (OEINC - "OINK") 
>>> combiner
>>>      from [8].
>>>
>>>   3. Attempt to adapt Drivel from [8] into the Bitcoin p2p setting.
>>>
>>> ### Classical Encrypted Channel Upgrades to PQ
>>>
>>> With the first option, we simply use one KEM right after the other. So 
>>> BIP 324
>>> v2 would be mostly unchanged, then we _upgrade_ to BIP 324 v3 within v2.
>>>  
>>>
>>> A sketch of this would be something like:
>>>   * Phase 0: normal BIP 324 handshake
>>>   * Phase 1: negotiation of PQ KEM scheme over the encrypted handshake
>>>      * Can be optional, if we just pick a set PQ KEM scheme.
>>>      * Before this point, no Bitcoin p2p message should be sent, as the 
>>> channel
>>>        isn't PQC protected yet.
>>>   * Phase 2: do normal ML-KEM within the ElligatorSwift derived 
>>> encrypted
>>>     transport
>>>      1. Alice sends the encapsulation key
>>>      2. Bob derives a secrets, encrypts it using the encapsulation key
>>>      3. Both sides then derive a PQ shared secret, ss_PQ
>>>   * Phase 3: both sides use a hybrid combiner like sketched out above 
>>> to derive
>>>     a new set of transport keys
>>>   * Phase 4: both sides rekey, switching over to a new the transport 
>>> keys
>>>
>>> The upside of this option is that the outer part of BIP 324 remains 
>>> unchanged,
>>> then with another round trip, we're able to upgrade the encryption keys 
>>> to PQ
>>> hybrid security. The downside is that the very first messages sent 
>>> aren't PQ
>>> from the start, but a PQ adversary wouldn't be able to decrypt the actual
>>> Bitcoin p2p messages (as we wait to send those until the upgrade). The
>>> handshake still looks like just random bytes.
>>>
>>> ### Outer Encrypts Inner Nested Combiner
>>>
>>> For the second option, [8] (with talk video [9] and slides [10]) 
>>> describes an
>>> OEINC scheme where the outer KEM
>>> encrypts the inner KEM, wherein the KEM ciphertext of an inner KEM is 
>>> encrypted
>>> using a shared secret derived from the outer KEM. The two KEM 
>>> ciphertexts and
>>> the two derived keys are then used alongside a hybrid combiner to derive 
>>> a
>>> final shared secret. 
>>>
>>> Unlike the classical-then-pq-upgrade that establishes a classical 
>>> channel, then
>>> uses that to upgrade to pq channel, OEINC is a special hybrid combiner 
>>> that
>>> achieves a similar output but in one swoop. It defines a special KEM, 
>>> which can
>>> then be used as the KEM in the very first handshake I sketched out.
>>>
>>> A sketch of this KEM looks something like:
>>>   * Setup:
>>>     * The outer KEM is BIP 324's ElligatorSwift-encoded secp256k1 DHKEM.
>>>        * It serves as the outer KEM because its on-wire encoding is
>>>          statistically indistinguishable from random.
>>>     * The inner KEM is ML-Kemeleon.
>>>
>>>   * KeyGen():
>>>     * (kem_secret_outer, kem_pubkey_outer) = outKEM.Gen()
>>>     * (kem_secret_inner, kem_pubkey_inner) = inKEM.Gen()
>>>     * combined_pubkey = (kem_pubkey_outer, kem_pubkey_inner)
>>>     * combined_secret = (kem_secret_outer, kem_secret_inner)
>>>
>>>   * Encaps(combined_pubkey):
>>>     * (shared_secret_outer, capsule_outer) = 
>>> outKEM.Encap(kem_pubkey_outer)
>>>     * (encrypt_key_1, encrypt_key_2) = KDF(shared_secret_outer)
>>>     * (shared_secret_inner, capsule_inner) = 
>>> inKEM.Encap(kem_pubkey_inner)
>>>     * encrypted_capsule_inner = encrypt(encrypt_key_1, capsule_inner)
>>>     * combined_capsule = capsule_outer || encrypted_capsule_inner
>>>     * combined_shared_secret = combine(encrypt_key_2, 
>>> shared_secret_inner, combined_capsule)
>>>
>>>   * Decaps(combined_secret, combined_capsule):
>>>     * (capsule_outer, encrypted_capsule_inner) = combined_capsule
>>>     * shared_secret_outer = outKEM.Decaps(kem_secret_outer, 
>>> capsule_outer)
>>>     * (encrypt_key_1, encrypt_key_2) = KDF(shared_secret_outer)
>>>     * capsule_inner = decrypt(encrypt_key_1, encrypted_capsule_inner)
>>>     * shared_secret_inner = inKEM.Decaps(kem_secret_inner, 
>>> capsule_inner)
>>>     * combined_shared_secret = combine(encrypt_key_2, 
>>> shared_secret_inner, combined_capsule)
>>>
>>>
>>> This is done over just sending the two encapsulated secrets plainly as I
>>> outlined above in order to achieve a stronger security notion. The issue 
>>> with
>>> this though is that though ciphertext uniformity (the encapsulated 
>>> secrets) is
>>> achieved, the two public keys sent are randomly looking, but not in a 
>>> uniform
>>> manner. In practice, this might not really matter much AFAICT (a 
>>> theoretical
>>> adversary would be able to distinguish the Elligator half from the 
>>> Kemeleon
>>> half).
>>>
>>> ### Drivel: PQ-Obfuscated Authentication
>>>
>>> The biggest issue with Drivel as a fit for BIP 324 is that it expects the
>>> initiator to already know a long term static public key for the 
>>> responder. In
>>> the case of BIP 324, only ephemeral keys are exchanged, so there's no 
>>> long
>>> term public keys known to either side.
>>>
>>> To get around this, we could extend BIP 155 (or make a new one likely, 
>>> given
>>> size limits) to include a signed OKEM key. However then that would 
>>> introduce
>>> authentication into the combined set, which explicitly wasn't a design 
>>> goal
>>> of BIP 324.
>>>
>>> With that caveat in mind, here's the construction itself. Drivel [8] 
>>> combines
>>> the OEINC scheme with another layer that out-of-the-box assumes an 
>>> asymmetric
>>> protocol within a set client and server. The client uses an existing 
>>> OEINC
>>> KEM public key published by the server to then encrypt a fresh new 
>>> ephemeral
>>> KEM.
>>>
>>> ----- 
>>>
>>> So there we have it. Before drafting a concrete v3 transport, we need to
>>> decide if we want a hybrid KEM, or are fine with a pure PQ KEM. Then we 
>>> need to
>>> decide if we want to attempt to maintain the current quality where the 
>>> p2p
>>> handshake transcript is indistinguishable from random. If yes, then that 
>>> forces
>>> another series of decisions re how to construct/compose an oblivious KEM 
>>> from
>>> available primitives.
>>>
>>> At a glance, the route of classical-then-pq-upgrade seems to be the 
>>> simplest.
>>> BIP 324 stays as is, then we run ML-KEM within that. The ML-KEM keys are
>>> encrypted, so there's no need to sprinkle in the layer of Kemeleon.
>>>
>>> If we want a nice combined protocol, then we should investigate the OEINC
>>> route. It's more data to send as part of the initial handshake, but we 
>>> still
>>> keep ElligatorSwift and use that as the outer KEM.
>>>
>>> If for some reason we're concerned with a future adversary gaining a
>>> distinguisher for Kemeleon, then maybe we need to bite the bullet and 
>>> also
>>> roll out a full blown PQ authentication protocol along side everything.
>>>
>>> One thing worth flagging for any of the byte-0 designs (where PQ 
>>> material is
>>> sent in the clear on the very first flight, like the hybrid and OEINC 
>>> sketches
>>> above): ML-KEM-768 makes the responder do real work before it can decide 
>>> if a
>>> connection is even legit. Today, the responder only needs the first 64 
>>> bytes
>>> of an ElligatorSwift share before it can derive the shared secret. With
>>> ML-KEM-768, the responder has to read and validate a 1184 byte 
>>> encapsulation
>>> key before running Encaps, and FIPS 203 mandates input checks on every 
>>> Encaps
>>> and Decaps. In a permissionless P2P network, that's a meaningful change 
>>> in
>>> inbound DoS surface, and probably calls for stricter handshake byte 
>>> limits,
>>> tighter timeouts, and possibly some form of stateless cookie/puzzle if
>>> handshake floods become a real problem. The classical-then-pq-upgrade 
>>> path
>>> sidesteps most of this since the PQ material only shows up after the v2
>>> channel is up.
>>>
>>> With all that said, after the above design decisions are addressed, there
>>> aren't too many concrete blockers here w.r.t rolling this out. Of course 
>>> the
>>> development (eg: selecting/creating a library for ML-KEM and maybe
>>> ML-Kemeleon), and upgrade will take some time. But unlike the consensus
>>> layer, p2p encryption doesn't require the widespread market agreement 
>>> that an
>>> actual soft fork does. BIP 324 is a much shorter walk to PQ than the 
>>> consensus
>>> layer, and serves as a sort of PQ warm up before the bigger soft fork is
>>> tackled. 
>>>
>>>
>>> -- Laolu
>>>
>>> [1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ML-KEM
>>> [2]: https://csrc.nist.gov/pubs/fips/203/final
>>> [3]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Learning_with_errors
>>> [4]: This statement ignores Isogeny based crypto, and also SWOOSH [5] as 
>>> it requires 200 KB pubkeys
>>> [5]: https://eprint.iacr.org/2023/271
>>> [6]: https://eprint.iacr.org/2018/024
>>> [7]: https://eprint.iacr.org/2020/1364
>>> [8]: https://eprint.iacr.org/2024/1086
>>> [9]: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CvFCYUq5rGg
>>> [10]: 
>>> https://csrc.nist.gov/csrc/media/Presentations/2025/kemeleon/images-media/kemeleon.pdf
>>> [11]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Harvest_now,_decrypt_later
>>>
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      reply	other threads:[~2026-08-27 15:38 UTC|newest]

Thread overview: 7+ messages / expand[flat|nested]  mbox.gz  Atom feed  top
2026-05-05  4:40 [bitcoindev] A Post-Quantum Path for BIP 324 Olaoluwa Osuntokun
2026-05-05 19:17 ` Ethan Heilman
2026-05-06 22:15   ` Olaoluwa Osuntokun
2026-05-07  5:25     ` Jonas Schnelli
2026-05-09  3:21       ` 'conduition' via Bitcoin Development Mailing List
2026-05-09  3:23         ` 'conduition' via Bitcoin Development Mailing List
2026-08-27  5:52           ` Liam Gilligan [this message]

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